Assumptions, conjectures, and other miracles: The application of evaluative thinking to theory of change models in community development

Assumptions, conjectures, and other miracles: The application of evaluative thinking to theory of change models in community development

This paper describes an evaluation capacity building (ECB) approach designed to help community development practitioners work more effectively with assumptions through the intentional infusion of evaluative thinking (ET) into the program planning, monitoring, and evaluation process. The focus is on the creation and analysis of theory of change (ToC) models, drawing from an experience with Catholic Relief Services in Ethiopia and Zambia. The use of ToC models, plus the addition of ET, is a way to encourage individual and organizational learning and adaptive management that supports more reflective and responsive programming.